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Gerald Everett

Gerald Everett Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 7

Los Angeles Chargers vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Gerald Everett Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+239/-380).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -338 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -380.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 130.7 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 6th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 64.5 plays per game.
  • The weather report calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • Gerald Everett has been a key part of his team's passing attack near the end zone, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 14.3% this year, which places him in the 85th percentile among tight ends.
  • Gerald Everett has put up far more air yards this year (42.0 per game) than he did last year (22.0 per game).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Chargers are a 4.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating a rushing game script.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 32.0 pass attempts per game against the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 4th-least in the league.
  • The Los Angeles Chargers O-line profiles as the 9th-worst in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all pass game statistics across the board.
  • Gerald Everett's sure-handedness have worsened this year, with his Completion% falling off from 82.2% to 62.3%.

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