Gerald Everett Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Gerald Everett

NFL · Player Props

Gerald Everett

TE · Los Angeles Chargers

Receiving TD

Los Angeles Chargers vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 7, 2022

Updated Oct 23, 2022 11:21 PM EST

Analysis

Gerald Everett Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+239/-380).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -338 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -380.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 130.7 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 6th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 64.5 plays per game.
The weather report calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Gerald Everett has been a key part of his team's passing attack near the end zone, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 14.3% this year, which places him in the 85th percentile among tight ends.
Gerald Everett has put up far more air yards this year (42.0 per game) than he did last year (22.0 per game).

Favors Under

The Chargers are a 4.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating a rushing game script.
Opposing teams have averaged 32.0 pass attempts per game against the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 4th-least in the league.
The Los Angeles Chargers O-line profiles as the 9th-worst in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all pass game statistics across the board.
Gerald Everett's sure-handedness have worsened this year, with his Completion% falling off from 82.2% to 62.3%.

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