Gerald Everett Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Gerald Everett

NFL · Player Props

Gerald Everett

TE · Los Angeles Chargers

Receiving TD

Los Angeles Chargers vs Jacksonville Jaguars · Week 3, 2022

Updated Sep 25, 2022 11:30 PM UTC

Analysis

Gerald Everett Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+263/-436).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +275 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +263.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Gerald Everett has been heavily involved in his team's offense near the end zone, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of 23.1% this year, which ranks in the 95th percentile among tight ends.
Gerald Everett has totaled a whopping 23.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 77th percentile among tight ends.
Gerald Everett's 28.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks him among the best in the league: 80th percentile for tight ends.
Gerald Everett grades out in the 86th percentile among tight ends when it comes to catching touchdowns since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 0.29 per game.
The Jacksonville Jaguars safeties profile as the 9th-worst unit in the NFL since the start of last season in regard to pass rush.

Favors Under

The Chargers are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.
Opposing offenses have played at the 9th-slowest pace in football (adjusted for context) against the Los Angeles Chargers defense since the start of last season, averaging 28.59 seconds per snap.
Opposing QBs have averaged 31.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars defense since the start of last season: 4th-least in the league.
Gerald Everett's sure-handedness have worsened this year, with his Completion% falling off from 82.2% to 69.0%.
The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has yielded the 7th-least passing TDs in football to tight ends: 0.26 per game since the start of last season.

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