Gerald Everett Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Gerald Everett

NFL · Player Props

Gerald Everett

TE · Los Angeles Chargers

Receiving TD

Los Angeles Chargers vs Miami Dolphins · Week 14, 2022

Updated Dec 12, 2022 1:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Gerald Everett Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+298/-527).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -513 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -527.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Chargers are a 3.5-point underdog this week, indicating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers offense as the 4th-quickest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 26.40 seconds per play.
The weather report calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
Opposing offenses have averaged 36.7 pass attempts per game versus the Miami Dolphins defense this year: 9th-most in football.
Gerald Everett has been an integral part of his team's pass game near the end zone, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of 16.4% this year, which puts him in the 84th percentile among TEs.

Favors Under

Gerald Everett's ball-catching skills have tailed off this season, with his Completion% shrinking from 82.2% to 68.3%.
The Miami Dolphins defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks just 2.36 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 3rd-best in football since the start of last season.

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