Gerald Everett Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Gerald Everett

NFL · Player Props

Gerald Everett

TE · Los Angeles Chargers

Receiving TD

Los Angeles Chargers vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 1, 2022

Updated Sep 11, 2022 11:34 PM UTC

Analysis

Gerald Everett Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+233/-367).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +257 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +233.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Chargers to run the most plays on offense among all teams this week with 65.4 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 7th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a monstrous 65.4 plays per game.
The weather forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Gerald Everett has been a big part of his team's passing offense near the end zone, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 15.1% since the start of last season, which places him in the 82nd percentile among TEs.
Gerald Everett has notched a monstrous 22.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 77th percentile among tight ends.

Favors Under

The Chargers are a 3.5-point favorite this week, which points towards a rushing game script.

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