George Pickens Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+138/-142).
Key Factors
Favors Over
At the moment, the 7th-most pass-centric offense in football near the goal line (58.7% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Dallas Cowboys.
Our trusted projections expect the Cowboys offense to be the 5th-fastest paced team in football (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 27.12 seconds per play.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
George Pickens has been a key part of his team's pass game near the goal line, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 20.0% since the start of last season, which ranks in the 86th percentile among wideouts.
When talking about air yards, George Pickens grades out in the towering 95th percentile among wide receivers since the start of last season, accumulating a whopping 98.0 per game.
Favors Under
With a 4-point advantage, the Cowboys are favored in this week's game, indicating more of a reliance on running than their standard approach.
In regards to pocket protection (and the effect it has on all passing offense statistics), the O-line of the Dallas Cowboys grades out as the 2nd-worst in the league since the start of last season.
When it comes to the linebackers' role in run defense, Washington's group of LBs has been atrocious since the start of last season, projecting as the 2nd-worst in the league. in the league.