George Pickens Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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NFL · Player Props

George Pickens

WR · Pittsburgh Steelers

Receptions

Las Vegas Raiders vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 6, 2024

Updated Oct 13, 2024 11:01 PM EST

Analysis

George Pickens Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ +125 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The 10th-highest number of plays in the league have been called by the Steelers this year (a whopping 59.8 per game on average).
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
In this game, George Pickens is anticipated by our trusted projection set to position himself in the 77th percentile among wide receivers with 7.0 targets.
George Pickens's 71.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive usage) has been significantly better this year than it was last year at 62.5.
George Pickens grades out as one of the leading pass-catching WRs this year, averaging an impressive 4.6 adjusted receptions per game while ranking in the 82nd percentile.

Favors Under

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 49.8% of their opportunities: the 2nd-lowest clip on the slate this week.
Opposing offenses teams have been reluctant to pass too much against the Raiders, averaging the 8th-fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 30.8 per game) this year.