George Pickens Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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George Pickens

NFL · Player Props

George Pickens

WR · Pittsburgh Steelers

Receptions

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Tennessee Titans · Week 9, 2023

Updated Nov 2, 2023 11:26 PM UTC

Analysis

George Pickens Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-175/+145).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The projections expect the Steelers offense to be the quickest paced team in football (context-neutralized) at the moment, averaging 26.02 seconds per snap.
In this contest, George Pickens is projected by the predictive model to position himself in the 80th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 7.2 targets.
George Pickens's 65.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that calculates high-value offensive usage) has been quite a bit better this season than it was last season at 44.8.
The Titans pass defense has surrendered the 2nd-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (75.9%) versus WRs this year (75.9%).
The Tennessee Titans linebackers project as the 5th-worst unit in the league this year in covering receivers.

Favors Under

With a 3-point advantage, the Steelers are favored this week, indicating more of a focus on running than their normal game plan.
In regards to pass protection (and the effect it has on all pass attack statistics), the O-line of the Pittsburgh Steelers ranks as the 6th-worst in the league this year.
George Pickens's possession skills have worsened this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate falling off from 62.5% to 53.0%.

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