George Pickens Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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George Pickens

NFL · Player Props

George Pickens

WR · Pittsburgh Steelers

Receptions

Pittsburgh Steelers vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 1, 2023

Updated Sep 10, 2023 8:26 PM UTC

Analysis

George Pickens Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+110/-143).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +114 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Pittsburgh Steelers have run the 5th-most plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a whopping 61.5 plays per game.
Opposing QBs have averaged 35.9 pass attempts per game versus the San Francisco 49ers defense since the start of last season: 5th-most in the NFL.
George Pickens has run a route on 90.5% of his offense's dropbacks since the start of last season, ranking him in the 84th percentile among wide receivers.
THE BLITZ projects George Pickens to earn 6.0 targets in this contest, on average, ranking in the 76th percentile among wideouts.
The San Francisco 49ers pass defense has conceded the 10th-highest Completion% in the NFL (68.7%) to WRs since the start of last season (68.7%).

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Steelers to call the 5th-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
George Pickens has been among the least sure-handed receivers in the NFL, catching just 62.8% of balls thrown his way since the start of last season, checking in at the 24th percentile among wide receivers
The San Francisco 49ers linebackers rank as the 3rd-best unit in the league since the start of last season in pass coverage.

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