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George Pickens

George Pickens Receptions
Player Prop Week 2

Pittsburgh Steelers vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
George Pickens Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-111/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Steelers are a 3-point underdog in this game, likely leading to a passing game script.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have called the 9th-most plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a colossal 64.1 plays per game.
  • THE BLITZ projects George Pickens to be much more involved in his offense's passing offense this week (14.5% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (9.1% in games he has played).
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers offensive line profiles as the 8th-best in the league since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive impact on all air attack stats across the board.
  • The New England Patriots defense has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks 2.52 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 8th-slowest in the league since the start of last season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Steelers to call the 5th-least plays on offense on the slate this week with 60.4 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 32.6 pass attempts per game vs. the New England Patriots defense since the start of last season: 10th-least in the NFL.
  • The New England Patriots pass defense has given up the 3rd-lowest Completion% in football (60.9%) to wideouts since the start of last season (60.9%).
  • The New England Patriots safeties grade out as the 3rd-best unit in the league since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers O-line has allowed their QB a mere 2.19 seconds before the pass (worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a harmful impact on all air attack stats across the board.

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