George Pickens Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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George Pickens

NFL · Player Props

George Pickens

WR · Pittsburgh Steelers

Receptions

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 11, 2022

Updated Nov 21, 2022 1:01 AM UTC

Analysis

George Pickens Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-155/+125).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Steelers are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Pittsburgh Steelers as the 7th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 63.8% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Pittsburgh Steelers have run the 7th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 61.1 plays per game.
George Pickens has run a route on 89.1% of his team's dropbacks this year, ranking in the 79th percentile among wideouts.
THE BLITZ projects George Pickens to accumulate 6.9 targets in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 81st percentile among WRs.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Steelers to run the 7th-least total plays among all teams this week with 63.0 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Cincinnati Bengals pass defense has surrendered the 8th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (63.7%) vs. wide receivers this year (63.7%).
The Cincinnati Bengals linebackers grade out as the 5th-best LB corps in the NFL this year in pass coverage.
The Pittsburgh Steelers O-line has afforded their quarterback just 2.19 seconds before the pass (worst in football since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all air attack statistics across the board.
The Pittsburgh Steelers have utilized play action on a mere 18.5% of their dropbacks since the start of last season (3rd-least in the league), making the offense more predictable and lowering passing effectiveness.

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