George Pickens Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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George Pickens

NFL · Player Props

George Pickens

WR · Pittsburgh Steelers

Receiving Yards

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 11, 2024

Updated Nov 17, 2024 9:06 PM EST

Analysis

George Pickens Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 74.5 (-123/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 66.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 74.5 @ -123.

Key Factors

Favors Over

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Steelers are underdogs this week, indicating more of an emphasis on throwing than their usual game plan.
With regard to a defense's impact on pace, at 27.61 seconds per snap, the predictive model expects the Pittsburgh Steelers to be the 5th-fastest in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time.
Opposing offenses have averaged 41.6 pass attempts per game against the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: most in the NFL.
In this week's contest, George Pickens is forecasted by our trusted projection set to position himself in the 86th percentile among wide receivers with 7.9 targets.
After accruing 89.0 air yards per game last season, George Pickens has seen a big uptick this season, currently boasting 97.0 per game.

Favors Under

Our trusted projections expect the Pittsburgh Steelers as the 3rd-least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 52.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
The Steelers offensive line ranks as the 10th-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all pass game statistics across the board.
George Pickens's 2.82 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year indicates a remarkable decrease in his effectiveness in space over last year's 5.9% figure.
When it comes to safeties pass-rushing, Baltimore's safety corps has been fantastic this year, ranking as the 3rd-best in the league.

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