George Pickens Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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George Pickens

NFL · Player Props

George Pickens

WR · Pittsburgh Steelers

Receiving Yards

Miami Dolphins vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 7, 2022

Updated Oct 23, 2022 11:26 PM EST

Analysis

George Pickens Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 42.5 (-117/-112).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Steelers are a huge 7.5-point underdog this week, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Pittsburgh Steelers as the 4th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 62.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
George Pickens has run a route on 87.6% of his offense's dropbacks this year, placing him in the 75th percentile among wideouts.
George Pickens has put up a monstrous 90.0 air yards per game this year: 91st percentile among wideouts.
The Pittsburgh Steelers offensive line grades out as the 10th-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all passing game metrics across the board.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Steelers to call the least total plays among all teams this week with 60.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
George Pickens has been among the most hard-handed receivers in the NFL, hauling in just 58.6% of balls thrown his way this year, grading out in the 21st percentile among wide receivers
George Pickens has been among the weakest WRs in the NFL at generating extra yardage, averaging just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while ranking in the 1st percentile.
The Miami Dolphins pass defense has allowed the 7th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (62.4%) to WRs this year (62.4%).
The Pittsburgh Steelers offensive line has afforded their QB just 2.19 seconds before the pass (worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all pass game statistics across the board.

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