George Pickens Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 16

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NFL · Player Props

George Pickens

WR · Pittsburgh Steelers

Receiving Yards

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 16, 2022

Updated Dec 25, 2022 4:01 AM UTC

Analysis

George Pickens Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 35.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 37.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 35.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Pittsburgh Steelers have run the 7th-most plays in football this year, totaling a colossal 60.9 plays per game.
George Pickens has run a route on 90.2% of his offense's passing plays this year, ranking him in the 82nd percentile among wideouts.
George Pickens has totaled a colossal 77.0 air yards per game this year: 85th percentile among wideouts.
George Pickens has been among the most effective receivers in the league, averaging a stellar 9.43 yards-per-target this year while checking in at the 78th percentile among WRs.
The Las Vegas Raiders defense has given up the 7th-most receiving yards per game in the league (166.0) vs. wide receivers this year.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Pittsburgh Steelers to be the 10th-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 54.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The weatherman calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
George Pickens has been among the most unreliable receivers in football, hauling in a measly 61.7% of passes thrown his way this year, checking in at the 18th percentile among wide receivers
George Pickens has been among the worst WRs in football at picking up extra yardage, averaging just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while ranking in the 1st percentile.
The Las Vegas Raiders pass defense has been quite strong when opposing wide receivers have gotten into space, allowing an average of 3.75 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 5th-least in the NFL.