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George Pickens

George Pickens Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 5

Buffalo Bills vs Pittsburgh Steelers

George Pickens Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+317/-582).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +364 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +317.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Steelers are a giant 14-point underdog this week, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 137.0 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects George Pickens to be a more important option in his team's passing game near the end zone this week (14.5% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (0.0% in games he has played).

George Pickens has accumulated a monstrous 97.0 air yards per game this year: 90th percentile among wide receivers.

The Pittsburgh Steelers offensive line ranks as the 3rd-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong impact on all air attack stats across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Pittsburgh Steelers have run the 8th-least plays in the league this year, averaging just 55.0 plays per game.

The weatherman calls for 19-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing efficiency.

Opposing teams have averaged 28.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Buffalo Bills defense this year: 2nd-least in the league.

George Pickens has been among the most hard-handed receivers in the NFL, hauling in a mere 52.1% of balls thrown his way this year, checking in at the 9th percentile among wide receivers

George Pickens ranks in the 1st percentile among WRs when it comes to catching touchdowns this year, averaging a measly 0.00 per game.

More George Pickens Player Props

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