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George Pickens

George Pickens Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 12

Indianapolis Colts vs Pittsburgh Steelers

George Pickens Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+241/-391).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +273 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +241.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Pittsburgh Steelers have called the 7th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 61.5 plays per game.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

THE BLITZ projects George Pickens to be much more involved in his team's air attack near the end zone this week (18.0% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (10.3% in games he has played).

George Pickens has put up a monstrous 84.0 air yards per game this year: 88th percentile among WRs.

The Indianapolis Colts defensive ends profile as the worst DE corps in the NFL this year when it comes to rushing the passer.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Steelers to call the 5th-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 66.0 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

Opposing teams have averaged 29.7 pass attempts per game against the Indianapolis Colts defense this year: least in football.

The Indianapolis Colts defense has yielded the 4th-least passing touchdowns in the NFL to WRs: 0.55 per game this year.

The Pittsburgh Steelers O-line has afforded their quarterback just 2.19 seconds before the pass (worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all air attack stats across the board.

The Indianapolis Colts have stacked the box versus opponents on just 13.1% of their plays since the start of last season, least in football. Choosing not to position an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

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