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George Kittle

George Kittle Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

Seattle Seahawks vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
George Kittle Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +115 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -114.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The 3rd-most plays in the NFL have been called by the San Francisco 49ers this year (a massive 61.2 per game on average).
  • In this week's game, George Kittle is projected by the projection model to rank in the 91st percentile among TEs with 6.1 targets.
  • With an impressive 24.0% Target% (99th percentile) this year, George Kittle ranks as one of the TEs with the biggest workloads in the NFL.
  • George Kittle's 5.8 adjusted receptions per game this year signifies a meaningful boost in his receiving ability over last year's 4.0 mark.
  • George Kittle's receiving reliability have gotten better this season, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 72.7% to 80.6%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 5-point advantage, the 49ers are favored this week, indicating more of an emphasis on rushing than their typical game plan.
  • The leading projections forecast the 49ers to be the 6th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 53.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • Our trusted projections expect the 49ers to run the 5th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.5 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • As it relates to protecting the passer (and the importance it has on all passing attack metrics), the offensive line of the 49ers profiles as the 10th-worst in the league this year.
  • The Seattle Seahawks safeties grade out as the best group of safeties in the NFL this year in defending receivers.

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