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George Kittle

George Kittle Receptions
Player Prop Week 3

Los Angeles Rams vs San Francisco 49ers

George Kittle Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (1-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while run volume may suffer.

The Rams defense has been a glaring pass funnel since the start of last season, inducing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 10th-most passes in the league (34.9 per game) since the start of last season.

With an impressive 87.0% Route Participation Rate (98th percentile) since the start of last season, George Kittle has been among the TEs with the biggest workloads in the NFL.

This week, George Kittle is anticipated by the predictive model to place in the 96th percentile among TEs with 7.1 targets.

With an impressive 3.8 adjusted receptions per game (86th percentile) since the start of last season, George Kittle ranks among the best pass-game tight ends in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the San Francisco 49ers to pass on 55.0% of their chances: the 10th-lowest rate on the slate this week.

Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the 49ers are predicted by the projection model to run only 61.3 plays on offense in this game: the 3rd-lowest number among all teams this week.

The 2nd-smallest volume of plays in football have been run by the San Francisco 49ers since the start of last season (a measly 54.7 per game on average).

As it relates to pass protection (and the importance it has on all passing attack metrics), the O-line of the 49ers profiles as the 5th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season.

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