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George Kittle

George Kittle Receptions
Player Prop Week 2

Minnesota Vikings vs San Francisco 49ers

George Kittle Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+140/-185).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -165 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -185.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The pass games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may suffer.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 36.6 pass attempts per game versus the Vikings defense since the start of last season: 4th-most in the league.

George Kittle has run a route on 88.4% of his offense's passing plays since the start of last season, ranking him in the 100th percentile when it comes to tight ends.

In this game, George Kittle is expected by our trusted projection set to place in the 94th percentile among tight ends with 6.1 targets.

George Kittle checks in as one of the leading pass-catching TEs last year, averaging an exceptional 4.0 adjusted receptions per game while grading out in the 86th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's spread suggests a rushing game script for the 49ers, who are favored by 6 points.

The model projects the San Francisco 49ers as the 11th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 56.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

The predictive model expects this game to see the smallest number of plays run among all games this week at 124.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The San Francisco 49ers have run the fewest plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a mere 54.3 plays per game.

The San Francisco 49ers offensive line profiles as the 5th-worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a negative influence on all air attack metrics across the board.

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