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George Kittle

George Kittle Receptions
Player Prop Week 15

San Francisco 49ers vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
George Kittle Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-149/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +102 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -149.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • In this game, George Kittle is anticipated by the predictive model to find himself in the 94th percentile when it comes to tight ends with 7.0 targets.
  • George Kittle ranks in the 97th percentile among TE WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that assesses high-value offensive volume) with a colossal 48.9 mark this year.
  • George Kittle's 5.1 adjusted receptions per game this season represents a meaningful progression in his receiving prowess over last season's 4.0 figure.
  • George Kittle's 85.8% Adjusted Catch Rate this year reflects a substantial gain in his pass-catching ability over last year's 72.7% figure.
  • The Los Angeles Rams safeties rank as the 10th-worst safety corps in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A rushing game script is suggested by the 49ers being a 3-point favorite in this week's contest.
  • Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the San Francisco 49ers to pass on 53.5% of their plays: the 6th-lowest clip among all teams this week.
  • The leading projections forecast the 49ers to call the 11th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 64.2 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The 9th-smallest volume of plays in the league have been called by the 49ers this year (a measly 55.5 per game on average).
  • Opposing teams teams have been reluctant to rely on the passing game too much against the Los Angeles Rams, averaging the 9th-fewest attempts in football (a lowly 32.7 per game) this year.

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