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George Kittle

George Kittle Receptions
Player Prop Week 1

San Francisco 49ers vs New York Jets

George Kittle Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-190/+145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -160 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -190.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

With a sizeable 88.9% Route Participation% (99th percentile) last year, George Kittle places as one of the tight ends with the biggest workloads in football.

In this game, George Kittle is anticipated by the model to place in the 95th percentile when it comes to tight ends with 6.5 targets.

With a terrific 4.4 adjusted receptions per game (87th percentile) last year, George Kittle has been as one of the best pass-game TEs in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's spread suggests a running game script for the 49ers, who are favored by 5.5 points.

The model projects the San Francisco 49ers as the least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 55.2% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

The predictive model expects this game to see the lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 126.7 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The San Francisco 49ers have called the fewest plays in the league last year, averaging a measly 53.5 plays per game.

Windy weather conditions (like the 12-mph being projected in this game) typically cause lessened passing efficiency, lower pass volume, and higher rush volume.

More George Kittle Player Props

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