George Kittle Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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George Kittle

NFL · Player Props

George Kittle

TE · San Francisco 49ers

Receptions

Los Angeles Rams vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 8, 2022

Updated Oct 30, 2022 11:11 PM UTC

Analysis

George Kittle Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+125/-160).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The weather report calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects George Kittle to garner 8.5 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 99th percentile among TEs.
THE BLITZ projects George Kittle to be a more important option in his team's passing game this week (25.5% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (19.1% in games he has played).
The San Francisco 49ers O-line grades out as the 6th-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong effect on all passing attack metrics across the board.
George Kittle has been among the leading pass-catching TEs this year, averaging an impressive 5.0 receptions per game while ranking in the 95th percentile.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers as the 10th-least pass-oriented offense in football (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 59.2% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the least plays run on the slate this week at 122.4 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The San Francisco 49ers have called the 10th-least plays in the league this year, totaling a lowly 57.1 plays per game.
Opposing offenses have averaged 30.7 pass attempts per game versus the Los Angeles Rams defense this year: 4th-least in the NFL.
The Los Angeles Rams pass defense has allowed the lowest Completion% in the NFL (53.9%) vs. TEs this year (53.9%).

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