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George Kittle

George Kittle Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

Atlanta Falcons vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
George Kittle Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-195/+145).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 42.8 pass attempts per game versus the Atlanta Falcons defense this year: 2nd-most in football.
  • THE BLITZ projects George Kittle to accumulate 6.4 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 94th percentile among TEs.
  • George Kittle has been heavily involved in his team's passing attack, garnering a Target Share of 21.6% since the start of last season, which places him in the 98th percentile among tight ends.
  • George Kittle has been among the leading pass-catching tight ends since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 4.1 receptions per game while checking in at the 94th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The 49ers are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers to be the 5th-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 56.5% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 128.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The San Francisco 49ers have run the 9th-least plays in the league this year, totaling just 56.6 plays per game.
  • The Atlanta Falcons safeties profile as the 7th-best collection of safeties in the league this year in pass coverage.

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