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George Kittle

George Kittle Receptions
Player Prop Week 5

Carolina Panthers vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
George Kittle Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+110/-150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -150.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The weatherman calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 37.5 pass attempts per game against the Carolina Panthers defense this year: 10th-most in football.
  • George Kittle has run a route on 82.5% of his team's dropbacks since the start of last season, placing him in the 97th percentile among tight ends.
  • THE BLITZ projects George Kittle to notch 5.8 targets in this game, on average, ranking in the 91st percentile among tight ends.
  • George Kittle has been among the top TEs in the pass game since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 4.0 receptions per game while checking in at the 93rd percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The 49ers are a 6-point favorite in this game, which points towards a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers as the 2nd-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 53.2% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-least plays run among all games this week at 126.4 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Carolina Panthers linebackers rank as the 4th-best unit in football this year in pass coverage.
  • The Carolina Panthers pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a measly 2.31 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the best in football since the start of last season.

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