George Kittle Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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NFL · Player Props

George Kittle

TE · San Francisco 49ers

Receptions

Denver Broncos vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 3, 2022

Updated Sep 26, 2022 12:25 AM EST

Analysis

George Kittle Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+125/-160).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects George Kittle to total 6.2 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 93rd percentile among tight ends.
George Kittle has been a big part of his team's passing attack, posting a Target Share of 22.7% since the start of last season, which puts him in the 98th percentile among TEs.
The San Francisco 49ers O-line ranks as the 4th-best in football since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive effect on all air attack stats across the board.
George Kittle has been among the top pass-catching tight ends since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 4.1 receptions per game while checking in at the 94th percentile.
The Denver Broncos defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing QBs 2.53 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 6th-slowest in football since the start of last season.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers to be the 5th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 53.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the smallest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 116.4 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The San Francisco 49ers have run the 9th-least plays in football since the start of last season, totaling just 61.5 plays per game.
Opposing teams have averaged 32.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Denver Broncos defense since the start of last season: 6th-least in football.
The Denver Broncos linebackers profile as the 5th-best LB corps in the league since the start of last season in covering receivers.