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George Kittle
NFL · Player Props
George Kittle
TE · San Francisco 49ers
Receptions
San Francisco 49ers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Week 14, 2022 Updated Dec 11, 2022 9:21 PM UTC
NFL Props George Kittle Receptions

George Kittle Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+125/-160).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +135 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +125.

Favors Over
  • THE BLITZ projects the 49ers to run the 3rd-most total plays among all teams this week with 67.8 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects George Kittle to accumulate 4.7 targets this week, on average, putting him in the 83rd percentile among TEs.
  • The San Francisco 49ers offensive line profiles as the 8th-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong impact on all pass attack metrics across the board.
  • George Kittle has been among the leading pass-game tight ends this year, averaging a terrific 3.8 receptions per game while grading out in the 90th percentile.
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has given up the 10th-highest Completion% in football (75.2%) to tight ends this year (75.2%).
Favors Under
  • The 49ers are a 3.5-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers as the 4th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 51.7% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • George Kittle's 34.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly lower this year than it was last year at 46.2.
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers safeties rank as the best collection of safeties in the league this year in regard to pass rush.
  • The San Francisco 49ers have gone no-huddle on a lowly 3.4% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (7th-least in the league). This slows down the pace, leading to less volume and stat production.
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