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George Kittle Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 50.5 (-125/-103).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 48.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 50.5 @ -125.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The 3rd-most plays in the NFL have been called by the San Francisco 49ers this year (a massive 61.2 per game on average).In this week's game, George Kittle is projected by the projection model to rank in the 91st percentile among TEs with 6.1 targets.With an impressive 24.0% Target% (99th percentile) this year, George Kittle ranks as one of the TEs with the biggest workloads in the NFL.When it comes to air yards, George Kittle grades out in the towering 99th percentile among TEs this year, totaling a striking 53.0 per game.With an outstanding 65.0 adjusted receiving yards per game (100th percentile) this year, George Kittle ranks among the top TE receiving threats in football.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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With a 5-point advantage, the 49ers are favored this week, indicating more of an emphasis on rushing than their typical game plan.The leading projections forecast the 49ers to be the 6th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 53.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.Our trusted projections expect the 49ers to run the 5th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.5 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.As it relates to protecting the passer (and the importance it has on all passing attack metrics), the offensive line of the 49ers profiles as the 10th-worst in the league this year.George Kittle's 9.0 adjusted yards per target this year conveys a material reduction in his receiving talent over last year's 10.8 rate.
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