George Kittle Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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George Kittle

NFL · Player Props

George Kittle

TE · San Francisco 49ers

Receiving Yards

Cleveland Browns vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 6, 2023

Updated Oct 15, 2023 4:01 PM UTC

Analysis

George Kittle Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 36.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 37.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 36.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

With a high 84.0% Route% (96th percentile) this year, George Kittle rates among the tight ends with the most usage in the NFL.
In this contest, George Kittle is expected by the predictive model to position himself in the 78th percentile when it comes to TEs with 4.6 targets.
George Kittle has notched a colossal 37.0 air yards per game this year: 88th percentile among TEs.
With an excellent 44.0 adjusted yards per game on passes (88th percentile) this year, George Kittle rates among the best TEs in the pass game in the NFL.
George Kittle has been among the most effective pass-catchers in the league among tight ends, averaging a stellar 10.06 adjusted yards-per-target this year while grading out in the 95th percentile.

Favors Under

A running game script is implied by the 49ers being a 6.5-point favorite in this week's game.
Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the San Francisco 49ers to pass on 52.6% of their opportunities: the 4th-lowest rate on the slate this week.
The leading projections forecast the San Francisco 49ers offense to be the most sluggish paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 31.72 seconds per snap.
Opposing offenses have averaged 27.0 pass attempts per game against the Browns defense this year: fewest in the NFL.
The the San Francisco 49ers offensive line ranks as the 6th-worst in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.

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