George Kittle Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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NFL · Player Props

George Kittle

TE · San Francisco 49ers

Receiving Yards

San Francisco 49ers vs Los Angeles Rams · Week 4, 2022

Updated Oct 4, 2022 12:20 AM EST

Analysis

George Kittle Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 45.5 (+100/-130).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Opposing teams have averaged 38.1 pass attempts per game against the Los Angeles Rams defense since the start of last season: 3rd-most in the league.
George Kittle has run a route on 82.1% of his offense's passing plays since the start of last season, placing him in the 97th percentile among TEs.
THE BLITZ projects George Kittle to garner 6.2 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 92nd percentile among TEs.
George Kittle has accrued a monstrous 55.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 96th percentile among tight ends.
The San Francisco 49ers O-line grades out as the 4th-best in the league since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all pass game metrics across the board.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers to be the least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 54.4% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the smallest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 124.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The San Francisco 49ers have called the least plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a measly 57.0 plays per game.
The Los Angeles Rams pass defense has shown good efficiency against tight ends since the start of last season, allowing 7.09 yards-per-target to the position: the 10th-least in the NFL.
The Los Angeles Rams defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a mere 2.37 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 4th-best in the NFL since the start of last season.