Geno Smith Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 5

My Account Log Out

reorder

NBA Season Tips Off Soon — Don’t Miss the Action! 🏀 06:17:10 🏀 SUBSCRIBE NOW

Geno Smith

NFL · Player Props

Geno Smith

QB · New York Jets

Touchdowns

New York Jets vs Cleveland Browns · Week 5, 2026

Updated Oct 11, 2026 1:07 PM EST

Analysis

Geno Smith Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+841/-1086).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Browns defense has been something of pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing teams to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the NFL (41.0 per game) this year.
The New York Jets offensive line profiles as the 7th-best in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.
Geno Smith's 72.2% Adjusted Completion% this year reflects a material gain in his passing precision over last year's 66.8% mark.
The rushing touchdown column reads "0" on the back of Geno Smith's trading card this year.
The Browns defense has given up the 5th-most passing TDs in the NFL: 2.25 per game this year.

Favors Under

The predictive model expects the New York Jets as the 4th-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 53.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
With a 51.9% rate of running the ball near the goal line (in a neutral context) this year, the 10th-most run-oriented offense in the NFL in this setting has been the Jets.
The projections expect the New York Jets offense to be the 3rd-slowest paced team in football (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 30.19 seconds per play.
The projections expect Geno Smith to attempt 31.4 passes in this week's contest, on average: the 6th-fewest out of all quarterbacks.
While Geno Smith has accounted for 0.0% of his team's red zone carries in games he has played this year, our trusted projections expect him to be a more integral piece of New York's running game near the end zone in this contest at 9.2%.

More Geno Smith Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow