My Account Log Out

reorder

Geno Smith

Geno Smith TD Passes
Player Prop Week 9

Seattle Seahawks vs Los Angeles Rams

Geno Smith TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+108/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -140.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects the Seahawks to be the 7th-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 60.8% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

The projections expect the Seattle Seahawks to be the 10th-most pass-focused team in football near the end zone (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 58.4% red zone pass rate.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is expected by the projections to have 130.8 plays on offense called: the 4th-highest number on the slate this week.

Still weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being projected in this game) usually prompt increased passing efficiency, higher touchdown potential, higher pass volume, and lower run volume.

This week, Geno Smith is projected by our trusted projection set to have the 6th-most pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 37.0.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Opposing teams have averaged 30.9 pass attempts per game versus the Rams defense this year: 8th-fewest in football.

The Seattle Seahawks offensive line grades out as the 5th-worst in football this year in pass protection, which has a harmful influence on all pass attack stats across the board.

Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 10th-lowest clip in football versus the Rams defense this year (69.4% Adjusted Completion%).

More Geno Smith Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™