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Geno Smith

Geno Smith TD Passes
Player Prop Week 8

Seattle Seahawks vs Buffalo Bills

Geno Smith TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +110 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A rushing game script is suggested by the Seahawks being a 3-point favorite in this week's game.

At the moment, the 5th-most pass-centric offense in the NFL near the end zone (60.9% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Seattle Seahawks.

The Seattle Seahawks have run the 8th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 59.4 plays per game.

In throwing a staggering 41.3 pass attempts per game this year, Geno Smith rates among the top QBs in the league (100th percentile) in this statistic.

Opposing offenses have averaged 36.7 pass attempts per game versus the Buffalo Bills defense this year: 7th-most in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 5th-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 126.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Windy weather conditions (like the 16-mph being predicted in this game) typically prompt lessened passing effectiveness, lower pass volume, and higher rush volume.

When talking about protecting the passer (and the impact it has on all pass game stats), the offensive line of the Seahawks profiles as the 7th-worst in the league this year.

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