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Geno Smith

Geno Smith TD Passes
Player Prop Week 2

New England Patriots vs Seattle Seahawks

Geno Smith TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+120/-155).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +128 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Since the start of last season, the poor New England Patriots defense has given up a monstrous 71.5% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the 9th-highest rate in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At the moment, the 10th-least pass-centric offense in the league (59.6% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Seattle Seahawks.

Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Seahawks are projected by the projections to run only 62.7 offensive plays in this game: the 6th-lowest number on the slate this week.

The 2nd-smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Seahawks since the start of last season (just 54.5 per game on average).

When it comes to pass-blocking (and the impact it has on all air attack stats), the O-line of the Seahawks ranks as the 10th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season.

The Patriots defense has conceded the fewest passing touchdowns in the league: 1.06 per game since the start of last season.

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