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Geno Smith

Geno Smith TD Passes
Player Prop Week 15

Seattle Seahawks vs Green Bay Packers

Geno Smith TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Seattle Seahawks to pass on 60.5% of their plays: the 9th-greatest rate among all teams this week.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is projected by the model to see 131.2 plays on offense run: the 5th-most among all games this week.

The forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and lower run volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

In this contest, Geno Smith is expected by the projection model to have the 6th-most pass attempts out of all QBs with 37.0.

Opposing QBs have averaged 35.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Green Bay Packers defense this year: 10th-most in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Seahawks offensive line grades out as the 7th-worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative impact on all pass attack metrics across the board.

The Packers safeties profile as the 2nd-best collection of safeties in the league this year in defending receivers.

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