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Geno Smith

Geno Smith TD Passes
Player Prop Week 13

New York Jets vs Seattle Seahawks

Geno Smith TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -140.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect the Seattle Seahawks to be the 9th-most pass-oriented team in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 62.3% pass rate.

The predictive model expects this game to see the 5th-most plays run out of all the games this week at 130.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Geno Smith has attempted 38.3 throws per game this year, checking in at the 97th percentile when it comes to QBs.

Geno Smith's 68.6% Adjusted Completion% this season illustrates a meaningful growth in his throwing precision over last season's 65.3% figure.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been afraid to lean on the pass against the Jets, totaling the 5th-fewest attempts in the league (a measly 30.8 per game) this year.

The Seattle offensive line ranks as the 5th-worst in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative influence on all passing game statistics across the board.

This year, the stout Jets defense has conceded a meager 67.5% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the 5th-lowest rate in the league.

The New York Jets defense has allowed the 2nd-fewest TDs through the air in football: 0.73 per game this year.

The New York Jets cornerbacks profile as the 7th-best CB corps in the NFL this year in defending pass-catchers.

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