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Geno Smith

Geno Smith TD Passes
Player Prop Week 11

San Francisco 49ers vs Seattle Seahawks

Geno Smith TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-105/-125).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game's spread suggests a passing game script for the Seahawks, who are -6-point underdogs.

Our trusted projections expect the Seahawks as the 3rd-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 62.5% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

At the moment, the 8th-most pass-oriented offense in football near the end zone (59.3% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Seahawks.

The weatherman calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and lower ground volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

In this contest, Geno Smith is forecasted by the projection model to wind up with the 5th-most pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 36.1.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Seattle Seahawks are expected by the projections to call only 63.1 offensive plays in this contest: the 8th-lowest number among all teams this week.

When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the impact it has on all pass attack metrics), the O-line of the Seattle Seahawks profiles as the 4th-worst in the league this year.

This year, the stout San Francisco 49ers defense has yielded a mere 66.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the 4th-lowest rate in the NFL.

The 49ers linebackers rank as the best LB corps in football this year in defending pass-catchers.

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