Geno Smith TD Passes - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Geno Smith

NFL · Player Props

Geno Smith

QB · Seattle Seahawks

TD Passes

Detroit Lions vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 2, 2023

Updated Sep 18, 2023 1:26 AM EST

Analysis

Geno Smith TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-120/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Seahawks are a 4.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks to be the 7th-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 62.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 131.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects Geno Smith to attempt 37.7 passes this week, on average: the 7th-most of all quarterbacks.

Favors Under

The Seattle Seahawks have run the 10th-least plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a lowly 55.9 plays per game.
Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 10th-lowest level in the NFL versus the Detroit Lions defense since the start of last season (68.4%).

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