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Geno Smith

Geno Smith Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Las Vegas Raiders vs Jacksonville Jaguars

 
 
 
Geno Smith Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-114/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -109 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Raiders rank as the 9th-most run-heavy offense in football (adjusted for context) this year with a 40.9% run rate.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects this game to see the lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 124.1 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Raiders have called the 4th-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 52.1 plays per game.
  • The pass games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down.
  • Geno Smith's 8.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this season indicates a substantial drop-off in his rushing skills over last season's 16.0 mark.
  • Geno Smith's 3.66 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) this season signifies a noteable decrease in his rushing talent over last season's 6.85 mark.

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