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Geno Smith

Geno Smith Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Kansas City Chiefs vs Las Vegas Raiders

 
 
 
Geno Smith Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-120/-112).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -112.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Kansas City Chiefs defense owns the 10th-worst efficiency against opposing running games this year, allowing 4.77 adjusted yards-per-carry.
  • When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in run defense, Kansas City's DT corps has been terrible this year, profiling as the 2nd-worst in the league. in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At a -13-point disadvantage, the Raiders are massive underdogs this week, indicating much more of a focus on passing than their normal game plan.
  • The projections expect the Las Vegas Raiders to be the 5th-least run-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 38.7% run rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • The projections expect the Raiders to run the fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 61.0 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • Geno Smith has rushed for significantly fewer adjusted yards per game (9.0) this year than he did last year (16.0).
  • Geno Smith's 4.14 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) this year marks a remarkable drop-off in his running proficiency over last year's 6.85 rate.

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