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Geno Smith

Geno Smith Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Seattle Seahawks vs Buffalo Bills

Geno Smith Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Seattle Seahawks have run the 8th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 59.4 plays per game.

Windy weather conditions (like the 16-mph being predicted in this game) typically prompt lessened passing effectiveness, lower pass volume, and higher rush volume.

After making up 8.2% of his team's run game usage last season, Geno Smith has been called on more in the run game this season, currently making up 13.4%.

Geno Smith has rushed for significantly more yards per game (22.0) this year than he did last year (11.0).

Geno Smith's 8.23 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) this year shows an impressive boost in his rushing skills over last year's 5.63 mark.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A rushing game script is suggested by the Seahawks being a 3-point favorite in this week's game.

The projections expect the Seahawks to be the 11th-least run-focused team among all teams this week with a 40.8% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 5th-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 126.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Geno Smith checks in as one of the weakest QBs in the league at generating extra running yardage, averaging a lowly 0.57 yards-after-contact this year while grading out in the 14th percentile.

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