My Account Log Out

reorder

Geno Smith

Geno Smith Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Atlanta Falcons vs Seattle Seahawks

Geno Smith Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect the Seattle Seahawks to run the 2nd-most total plays among all teams this week with 67.8 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The Seahawks have called the 4th-most plays in football this year, averaging a monstrous 60.5 plays per game.

Geno Smith has run for significantly more yards per game (25.0) this year than he did last year (11.0).

Geno Smith's 10.04 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) this season marks a significant growth in his rushing ability over last season's 5.63 figure.

Opposing squads have rushed for the 4th-most adjusted yards in the NFL (153 per game) against the Falcons defense this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Seahawks are underdogs in this week's game, suggesting more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their usual approach.

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Seahawks to run on 36.5% of their plays: the 2nd-lowest clip among all teams this week.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Geno Smith profiles as one of the weakest quarterbacks in football at generating extra rushing yardage, averaging a mere 0.63 yards-after-contact this year while grading out in the 17th percentile.

The Atlanta Falcons defensive tackles grade out as the 3rd-best unit in football this year when it comes to defending the run.

More Geno Smith Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™