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Geno Smith Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-110/-110).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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With a 3.5-point advantage, the Seahawks are favored in this week's game, indicating more of a focus on running than their standard approach.Right now, the 4th-fastest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) according to the model is the Seattle Seahawks.Geno Smith has rushed for substantially more yards per game (20.0) this year than he did last year (11.0).Geno Smith's running effectiveness has gotten better this season, compiling 7.94 adjusted yards-per-carry vs just 5.63 figure last season.The New York Giants defense has produced the worst efficiency against opposing run games since the start of last season, yielding 4.94 adjusted yards-per-carry.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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The leading projections forecast the Seahawks as the 6th-least run-centric offense on the slate this week with a 40.6% run rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (3-mph wind) being projected in this game, while run volume may go down.With a dreadful total of 0.33 yards-after-contact (21st percentile), Geno Smith has been as one of the bottom rushing quarterbacks in the league this year.As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in stopping the run, New York's group of DTs has been terrific this year, profiling as the 3rd-best in the NFL.
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