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Geno Smith

Geno Smith Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Detroit Lions vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Geno Smith Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects this game to have the 2nd-most plays run out of all the games this week at 133.2 plays, given the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
  • With a terrific tally of 6.2 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) (78th percentile), Geno Smith ranks among the best running quarterbacks in the NFL since the start of last season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's line suggests a passing game script for the Seahawks, who are -6-point underdogs.
  • Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Seattle Seahawks to run on 35.5% of their opportunities: the lowest rate among all teams this week.
  • The 2nd-smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Seahawks since the start of last season (just 54.8 per game on average).
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • In this week's game, Geno Smith is expected by our trusted projection set to earn the 10th-fewest carries out of all quarterbacks with 2.1.

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