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Geno Smith

Geno Smith Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Seattle Seahawks vs Miami Dolphins

Geno Smith Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast this game to see the 5th-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 130.9 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.

With an exceptional rate of 6.2 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) (77th percentile), Geno Smith stands among the best running quarterbacks in the NFL since the start of last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the Seahawks to be the 8th-least run-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 39.7% run rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

The Seahawks have run the 3rd-fewest plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a mere 54.9 plays per game.

The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and lower run volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

Geno Smith is positioned as one of the worst quarterbacks in the NFL at generating extra rushing yardage, averaging a measly 0.36 yards-after-contact this year while ranking in the 21st percentile.

The opposing side have run for the 8th-fewest adjusted yards in football (just 102.0 per game) against the Miami Dolphins defense since the start of last season.

More Geno Smith Player Props

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