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Geno Smith

Geno Smith Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 2

New England Patriots vs Seattle Seahawks

Geno Smith Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the Seahawks to be the 10th-most run-centric offense in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 40.4% run rate.

With a terrific total of 6.6 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) (93rd percentile), Geno Smith has been as one of the leading running quarterbacks in the NFL since the start of last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Seahawks are projected by the projections to run only 62.7 offensive plays in this game: the 6th-lowest number on the slate this week.

The 2nd-smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Seahawks since the start of last season (just 54.5 per game on average).

In this week's contest, Geno Smith is projected by the predictive model to accrue the 5th-fewest carries among all quarterbacks with 2.3.

Geno Smith is positioned as one of the bottom QBs in football at picking up extra ground yardage, averaging a mere 1.14 yards-after-contact since the start of last season while ranking in the 21st percentile.

The Patriots defense has produced the 2nd-best efficiency against opposing rushing attacks since the start of last season, surrendering just 3.63 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).

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