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Geno Smith

Geno Smith Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Arizona Cardinals vs Seattle Seahawks

Geno Smith Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects the Seattle Seahawks offense to be the 4th-quickest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 26.91 seconds per play.

Geno Smith's 19.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year marks a substantial boost in his rushing skills over last year's 11.0 figure.

Geno Smith's ground efficiency has gotten a boost this year, notching 6.59 adjusted yards-per-carry vs a mere 5.63 rate last year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A passing game script is indicated by the Seahawks being a -3-point underdog this week.

Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Seahawks to run on 36.0% of their plays: the 3rd-lowest rate among all teams this week.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

Geno Smith rates as one of the bottom QBs in football at generating extra rushing yardage, averaging a measly 0.69 yards-after-contact this year while checking in at the 15th percentile.

The Arizona Cardinals safeties grade out as the 6th-best collection of safeties in the league this year when it comes to defending the run.

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