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Geno Smith

Geno Smith Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 13

New York Jets vs Seattle Seahawks

Geno Smith Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects this game to see the 5th-most plays run out of all the games this week at 130.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Geno Smith has been a much bigger part of his offense's run game this season (13.7% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (8.2%).

Geno Smith's 20.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this season shows a noteworthy progression in his rushing prowess over last season's 11.0 rate.

Geno Smith's ground effectiveness has been refined this season, compiling 6.73 adjusted yards-per-carry vs just 5.63 rate last season.

Opposing teams have run for the 8th-most adjusted yards in the league (136 per game) versus the New York Jets defense this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At the present time, the 9th-least run-heavy offense in the NFL (37.7% context-neutralized) according to the model is the Seattle Seahawks.

Geno Smith is positioned as one of the worst quarterbacks in the league at generating extra ground yardage, averaging a measly 0.73 yards-after-contact this year while grading out in the 13th percentile.

More Geno Smith Player Props

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