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Geno Smith

Geno Smith Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Seattle Seahawks vs Arizona Cardinals

Geno Smith Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to have 130.3 plays on offense run: the 5th-most among all games this week.

In this week's game, Geno Smith is forecasted by the projection model to accrue the 9th-most rush attempts among all quarterbacks with 4.3.

Geno Smith has been a more important option in his offense's rushing attack this year (14.8% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last year (8.2%).

Geno Smith has rushed for quite a few more yards per game (22.0) this year than he did last year (11.0).

Geno Smith's rushing efficiency has gotten better this season, averaging 6.83 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to just 5.63 figure last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Seattle Seahawks to be the 7th-least run-focused team among all teams this week with a 41.6% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

With a terrible record of 0.78 yards-after-contact (16th percentile), Geno Smith ranks as one of the weakest rushing QBs in football this year.

When it comes to the safeties' role in stopping the run, Arizona's safety corps has been great this year, grading out as the 3rd-best in the NFL.

More Geno Smith Player Props

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