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Geno Smith

Geno Smith Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 11

San Francisco 49ers vs Seattle Seahawks

Geno Smith Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-110/-118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Geno Smith has been a more important option in his offense's run game this season (14.4% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (8.2%).

Geno Smith has run for substantially more yards per game (21.0) this season than he did last season (11.0).

Geno Smith's 6.74 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) this season indicates a noteable improvement in his rushing skills over last season's 5.63 rate.

As it relates to the safeties' role in stopping the run, San Francisco's unit has been awful this year, projecting as the 2nd-worst in football. in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's spread suggests a passing game script for the Seahawks, who are -6-point underdogs.

Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Seattle Seahawks to run on 37.5% of their downs: the 3rd-lowest clip among all teams this week.

Based on their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Seattle Seahawks are expected by the projections to call only 63.1 offensive plays in this contest: the 8th-lowest number among all teams this week.

The weatherman calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and lower ground volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

Geno Smith checks in as one of the worst QBs in the NFL at picking up extra running yardage, averaging a mere 0.87 yards-after-contact this year while checking in at the 22nd percentile.

More Geno Smith Player Props

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