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Geno Smith

Geno Smith Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Seattle Seahawks vs Cleveland Browns

 
 
 
Geno Smith Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With a 3.5-point advantage, the Seahawks are favored in this week's game, indicating more of a reliance on rushing than their normal approach.
  • The projections expect this game to see the 4th-most plays run out of all the games this week at 131.8 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At the present time, the 10th-least run-focused team in the NFL (37.6% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Seattle Seahawks.
  • The 10th-smallest volume of plays in football have been called by the Seattle Seahawks this year (only 56.3 per game on average).
  • The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and reduced ground volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • Geno Smith has been a much smaller piece of his team's running game this season (8.4% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (13.7%).
  • The Seattle Seahawks O-line ranks as the 4th-worst in the NFL last year at blocking for the run game.

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