Geno Smith Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Geno Smith

NFL · Player Props

Geno Smith

QB · Seattle Seahawks

Rushing Yards

Seattle Seahawks vs Cleveland Browns · Week 8, 2023

Updated Oct 29, 2023 10:51 PM EST

Analysis

Geno Smith Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

With a 3.5-point advantage, the Seahawks are favored in this week's game, indicating more of a reliance on rushing than their normal approach.
The projections expect this game to see the 4th-most plays run out of all the games this week at 131.8 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.

Favors Under

At the present time, the 10th-least run-focused team in the NFL (37.6% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Seattle Seahawks.
The 10th-smallest volume of plays in football have been called by the Seattle Seahawks this year (only 56.3 per game on average).
The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and reduced ground volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Geno Smith has been a much smaller piece of his team's running game this season (8.4% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (13.7%).
The Seattle Seahawks O-line ranks as the 4th-worst in the NFL last year at blocking for the run game.

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