Geno Smith Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Geno Smith

NFL · Player Props

Geno Smith

QB · Seattle Seahawks

Rushing Yards

Seattle Seahawks vs Washington Commanders · Week 10, 2023

Updated Nov 12, 2023 8:41 PM UTC

Analysis

Geno Smith Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-108/-121).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -121.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Seahawks are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.
The projections expect this game to have the 5th-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 130.2 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.

Favors Under

The leading projections forecast the Seattle Seahawks to be the 8th-least run-centric offense in football (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 37.1% run rate.
The Seahawks have run the 5th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging just 53.8 plays per game.
Geno Smith has averaged a mere 1.8 rush attempts per game this year, one of the smallest rates in the league when it comes to quarterbacks (22nd percentile).
After taking on 13.7% of his offense's rushing play calls last season, Geno Smith has been less involved in the rushing attack this season, currently taking on just 8.1%.
As it relates to blocking for ball-carriers (and the influence it has on all ground game stats), the O-line of the Seahawks ranks as the 4th-worst in the league last year.

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